Boeing: Air cargo traffic to double by 2043

Boeing: Air cargo traffic to double by 2043

With a strong air cargo market exceeding pre-pandemic levels, Boeing forecasts continued long-term growth, saying air cargo traffic will increase by an average of 4% per year through 2043. These projections appear in Boeing’s 2024 World Air Cargo Forecast (WACF), the biennial overview and long-term outlook for the air cargo industry.

“As the quickest and most reliable way to move goods, air cargo’s sustained growth has returned the industry to its long-term trend,” said Darren Hulst, Boeing vice president of Commercial Marketing.

“There will be many drivers for continued freighter demand over the next 20 years, including expansion of emerging markets and global growth in manufacturing and e-commerce.”

Further insight from the 2024 WACF:

  • The global air cargo fleet is forecast to rise to 3,900 aeroplanes by 2043, a two-thirds increase from 2,340 freighters in 2023.
  • Driven by demand in high-growth Asian markets, the large widebody freighter fleet will nearly double.
  • Nearly half of production and conversion deliveries will replace retiring freighters with more capable and fuel-efficient models — due to recent market needs, many older jets remain in service.

Regional movers:

  • East and South Asian markets will see the highest traffic growth per year, driven by expanding economies and consumer demand.
  • With the Asia-Pacific fleet expected to nearly triple, carriers in that region will require the most deliveries (980), followed closely by North America (955). These two regions will account for more than two-thirds of global deliveries.
  • India’s domestic air cargo market will nearly quadruple as express and e-commerce networks expand.

Express carriers forecast:

  • Express carriers will serve one-quarter of the air cargo market (up from the current 18%).
  • Express carriers are poised to grow faster than the industry average due to an increasing role in e-commerce distribution and the expansion of express networks in emerging markets.
Picture of Anastasiya Simsek

Anastasiya Simsek

Anastasiya Simsek started her journalism career in 2016 at Ukrainian TV-Channels: 24 Channel and 1+1 Media. Having worked across a number of different sectors, including news, medicine and lifestyle, she joined the Air Cargo Week editorial team in 2024. To share your news and exclusive insights, contact Anastasiya.Simsek@AirCargoWeek.com

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